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Winter Storm Warning 6pm Tonight Thru 6pm Wednesday

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1114 AM MDT TUE MAR 27 2007

…STRONG SPRING STORM IMPACTING EASTERN IDAHO TODAY AND TONIGHT..

.A VIGOROUS AND COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM IS MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS
IDAHO TODAY. ONE COLD FRONT PASSED THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN IDAHO THIS
MORNING…COOLING TEMPERATURES ENOUGH TO PRODUCE LIGHT RAIN- SNOW
MIX IN SOUTHERN LOCATIONS AND SNOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY DROP THIS AFTERNOON AS THE MAIN LOW
PRESSURE AREA MOVES EASTWARD…DROPPING SNOW LEVELS TO THE VALLEY
FLOORS. RAIN AND RAIN-SNOW MIX WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO ALL
SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE REGION. GENERALLY 8 TO
12 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS ARE EXPECTED WITH 3 TO 7 INCHES
IN THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN.

IDZ020-021-281000-
/O.UPG.KPIH.SB.Y.0003.070328T0000Z-070328T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KPIH.WS.W.0004.070328T0000Z-070329T0000Z/
UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…IDAHO FALLS…REXBURG…RIGBY..
POCATELLO…BLACKFOOT…AMERICAN FALLS
1114 AM MDT TUE MAR 27 2007

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
MDT WEDNESDAY..

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
MDT WEDNESDAY. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

SNOW IS FORECAST TO SPREAD INTO THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN THIS
EVENING WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND NOON
WEDNESDAY. AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN TOWN WITH
10-12 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE FOOTHILLS. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL ACCOMPANY THE SNOW..
OCCASIONALLY RESTRICTING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN 1 MILE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW..
SLEET…AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
IDC011-013-023-077-270515-
/O.NEW.KPIH.SV.W.0001.070327T0423Z-070327T0515Z/

BULLETIN – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO/IDAHO FALLS ID
1023 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO/IDAHO FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR..
  EXTREME EAST CENTRAL BLAINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL IDAHO..
  SOUTHEASTERN BUTTE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IDAHO..
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…SOUTHWEST INL…CENTRAL INL..
  WESTERN BINGHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO..
  NORTHWESTERN POWER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO..

* UNTIL 1115 PM MDT

* AT 1012 PM MDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
  EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM 28 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHWEST IDAHO NATIONAL LABORATORY TO
24 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ATOMIC CITY TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF ATOMIC
CITY…OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 26 MILES SOUTH OF ARCO TO 25
MILES SOUTH OF SOUTHWEST IDAHO NATIONAL LABORATORY TO 17 MILES
NORTHWEST OF AMERICAN FALLS…AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR..
  SOUTHWEST IDAHO NATIONAL LABORATORY BY 1040 PM MDT..
  CENTRAL INL AND ATOMIC CITY BY 1045 PM MDT..

LAT…LON 4332 11349 4322 11313 4291 11301 4338 11259
      4369 11270 4380 11306

$$

JAM

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Special Weather Statement – NWS Pocatello

POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST IDAHO ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

LATEST FORECAST ANALYSIS AND MODELS CONTINUE TO STRONGLY INDICATE
A MAJOR EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST IDAHO
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A LOW PRESSURE AREA CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC OCEAN WILL INTENSIFY AND MAKE STEADY EASTWARD PROGRESS
NEXT 48 HOURS. THE STORM CENTER IS FORECAST TO TRACK THROUGH
SOUTHERN OREGON THEN ALONG THE NEVADA-IDAHO-UTAH BORDER AND INTO
SOUTHWEST WYOMING BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS TRACK IS FAVORABLE
FOR CONSIDERABLE SNOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN IDAHO. INITIAL
SNOWFALL ESTIMATES INDICATE 8 TO 12 INCHES OR MORE ABOVE 6500FT
WILL FALL BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THE COLD AIR WORKS ITS WAY
ACROSS THE SNAKE PLAIN…SNOW LEVELS WILL REACH THE VALLEY FLOOR
LATE TUESDAY WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE AT LOWER ELEVATIONS BY
MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

WINTER STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
IDAHO. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF
THIS SYSTEM…FURTHER WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL
BE ISSUED AS CONDITIONS DEVELOP.

GET THE LATEST INFORMATION ABOUT THIS WEATHER SITUATION BY
LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO…THROUGH YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV
OUTLET…OR BY VISITING WWW.WEATHER.GOV/POCATELLO.

$$

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/pih/

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Weather Update March 23 2007

A Rather warm yet cloudy pattern has been the story for the last several days.  On the days that thunderstorms were forecast the atmosphere just couldnt get unstable enough or at all.  Considering this is the 3rd day of spring, things still look good as far what is to come.  There is speculation about a possible Strong to Severe Weather outbreak in Idaho for Tuesday.  Forecasters are concerned about a Strong Cold Front coming in Tuesday with possible already Minor Instability in place.  With the Cold Upper level air and Expected strong shear the possibilities look good for now at least for strong to possibly severe thunderstorms.  Here is a quote from Todays Forecast Discussion….

NWS Pocatello———————-

A SHARP COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING TUESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF MILD/WEAKLY UNSTABLE
AIR AND THIS COLD FRONT MAY LEAD TO THE GENERATION OF THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE PUT MENTION OF THUNDER IN THE FORECAST OVER
EASTERN HIGHLAND AREAS FOR NOW…BUT SITUATION BEARS WATCHING AS A
STRONG JET STREAM ALOFT DURING THIS PERIOD MAY LEAD TO A DECENT
AMOUNT OF SPEED SHEAR. THIS COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ISOLATED STRONG STORMS ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

NWS Pocatello———————————

Of course this is good news for myself, since there will be somewhat of a great opportunity for Chasing down some possible picturesque storm structure and lightning.  It bears watching for sure, however the scenario is a little questionable due to being 4 days out.  Last years first severe weather outbreak started on March 25th 2006 with mostly High Wind reports and some decent hail reports.  

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/events/060325/index.html

After 3 years of living here in Southeast Idaho I am more or less starting to Pin Point the start to Thunderstorm season and Peak Severe Weather season.  Hopefully 2 years from now I will have made my own Seasonal Forecasts, etc. 

Stay Tuned,  I will keep checking on Tuesdays Scenario. 

-gerrit

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Flood Safety Awareness Week March 19-23, 2007

It is Flood Safety Awareness week.  Be sure you visit the Link (website) below to find more information on how you can be prepared and Learn of all Flood types.  As we transition to Spring and Summer the Higher elevations will see snow melt increase and the chance for Rivers to Reach flood stage and flood levels, as this happens it is better to Understand the Causes for different types of flooding and how you can determine if you are in danger or not. 

In the coming weeks, Months different Awareness Topics will be discussed such as Severe Weather, Fire Awareness, etc.  Be sure to tune into Local NOAA Radio for the latest info and also visit National Weather Service Pocatello.  Links Below.

Flood Safety Awareness Week Link

http://www.weather.gov/floodsafety/

 

National Weather Service Pocatello Website Link

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/pih/

 

Sincerely: Gerrit

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Lake Effect Snows in Excess of 5″ Inches per hour (MI to NY)

Put in place the Arctic Airmass and Lake Effects snow bands and you can expect 3-5 foot totals after the storms done from MI to NY.  Residents may be digging out for days or even weeks.  On Sunday there was Thundersnow with frequent lightning making for heavy snow squall bands that dumped up to 3 inches per hour and up to 5 inches per hour.  The snow is still falling in the heavy rate and additional feet can be expected.  For Pictures, photos and Video relating to this Major Winter storm please visit=

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=123789

Thanks for stopping by….

-gerrit

http://www.severeidaho.com

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Florida Tornado Outbreak ,Feb ,2, 2007 Discussion

First Huge El Nino influenced Tornado Outbreak Occured early this morning at around 3am in Central Florida.  As with the New Fujita scale this is looking like an F2-F3 tornado that caused most of the damage.  Full Details Can be Found at Fox News….

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,249758,00.html

For Weather Survey & Maps & Warnings / Watches Issued for The Central Florida Outbreak Visit: 

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/surveys/020207/index.html

 

Due to the Outbreak Occuring at 3am I dont expect to hear of any stormchasers intercepting the Central Florida Outbreak.  One of many reasons include Rain wrapped tornadoes which are hard to see and Most times you can see a night time tornado is when the Lightning Bolts strike and that still isnt enough.  The Stormchasers and Meteorologists and weather watchers alike at Stormtrack.Org are discussing the Outbreak, Please visit StormTrack for more Info:

http://www.stormtrack.org/forum/showthread.php?t=10864

Thanks for stopping By…

 

-gerrit

http://www.severeidaho.com

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Wind Chill Warning Feb 1st 2007 Thru February 3rd 2007

A wind chill warning has been Issued for many Snake Valley Counties.  The concern for Gusty Winds with Below Zero readings calls for Dangerous conditions that can lead to Frostbite (within 30 minutes or less) or even death.  Temperatures will drop dramatically this evening thanks to an Arctic Blast from a Low that moved in from the North (backdoor low).  The drastic decrease in temperatures might result in some School closures for thursday and Friday, Stay Tuned to Local TV news and Radio for info. 

Information on the Wind Chill warning can be found via=

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/warnings.php?wfo=pih&zone=IDZ020&pil=XXXWSWPIH&productType=WIND%20CHILL%20WARNING

All other Weather Information can be found Via=

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/pih/

 

Stay Tuned…

-gerrit