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Latest Chases and Upcoming Chases

Well I have had 2 succesfull chases this year.  One particular chase took place June 3rd 2009, starting in Rexburg and then I drove to the 15 and headed South to around Blackfoot.  I encountered 1 inch hail and was afraid the windhield or van might get damaged. I got lucky to say the least.  Once i got out of the hail I noticed a storm to my south was developing and had a wall cloud.

Pictures here.

http://www.severeidaho.com/gallery/thumbnails.php?album=50

The storm was Severe Warned for hail and wind and in the warning there was mention of slight rotation.  I watched from Right off the Interstate 15 Highway till the storm eventually weakened and got into the Highlands/Mountains.

Video Here.

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There was also June 5 2009,  The Incredible Complex Line of storms that moved North and stayed mainly in the Snake River plain.  As the Line progressed North the Storm filled in from West to East and Intensified.  By the time It reached Idaho Falls it went severe and the fun began.  I filmed and shot photos from my Backyard all the way till the storm got directly overhead.  The storm was warned for winds and possible hail and there was also rotation.  63mph winds occured over my area along with Pea sized hail and a few slightly larger than 1/4 inch.

Pictures here.

http://www.severeidaho.com/gallery/thumbnails.php?album=51

Video Here.

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There are storms predicted thru next week and occasional Strong to Severe thunderstorms are possible.  On days that storms can develop from strong to severe I will be active trying to get footage.  Its an active year so far and we are only in June.

Keep an eye on the youtube channel and Photo Gallery for updates.  I know I havent been updating this blog lately and will try to fit in more time to update you guys on whats going on.

Have a great Weekend and keep checking back for new photos and video.

-gerrit

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July 15 2008 Monsoon Update

Have you noticed the Heat lately and the latest intrusion of Clouds.  This is all Monsoonal Moisture that has made it into our area.  The Monsoon is actually wreaking havoc in parts of California where they had Mudslides and one of these incidents even tore thru a very Popular Fishing Hatchery off the 395 highway which devastated there trout inventory.  There was even a tornado reported in Southern California.  So the Monsoon is definetely active in the Southwest.  What will it be like for our area?  Thus far local NWS has mention of thunderstorms for mostly higher terrain including the Wy/Mo borders.  For our immediate area we seem to be stuck in the wind zone and with very low humidities we are currently under a Red flag warning and fire watch.  If the storms that pop up over the higher terrain have any dry lightning we will definetely see the beginning of the fire season starting tonight and into tomorrow.  There is always that chance that these storms could roll off from the Southwest into our area moving Northeast.  If this occurs we will see strong downburst winds and maybe some ehavy downpours and dangerous Cloud to ground lightning. 

If you didnt know already, There are several Monsoon stormchasers chasing the storms from Arizona and into Nevada and I will be adding there links here so you can go visit them and see the wonders of the Southwest Monsoon.  First off,  My Favorite Monsoon stormchaser/lightning photographer Susan Strom is busy chasing these storms.  Be sure to visit http://www.lightninglady.com/ for some Amazing Lightning Photographs. 

So will the Monsoon create Thunderstorms and lightning for us?  The easiest way to answer this is is to Mention the 4 corner highs.  If the 4 corner high sets up perfectly with a low to the southwest of California we will definetely be seeing some storms.  The current setup is just enough for a very small amount of Moisture to make it to our region.  With a stronger push of Moisture we will get humid, very hot and then the chances for a storm is Ideal.  So keep those fingers crossed.

In the mean time, please go visit http://www.severeidaho.com/gallery/thumbnails.php?album=7 to see the lightning I captured on July 8th. 

Also Visit http://www.severeidaho.com/gallery/thumbnails.php?album=41 to see Firework photos from Rigby Lake. 

Have a Great week and stay cool out there. 

 

-gerrit

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Weather Update May 31 2008

As you know the weather around Southeast Idaho has been unsettled.  Pretty much every day since last Weekend there has been a Slight chance or chance for thunderstorms.  Some days were bigger then others as far as convection went.  The last 2 days appeared to be active but as soon as a storm would pop up it would pulse out.  I have been taking photos and you can find them at the gallery and I have also been doing Time Lapse videos since May 20th and the outcome for each video is pretty cool.  So be sure to check the Gallery and the Videos page for the latest videos. 

Sunday will be another relatively active day.  Thunderstorms are expected with small hail and some wind but severe and strong storms are not predicted.  However, Monday June 2 is looking to be a possible Strong to Severe Weather event.  Thoughts currently is for possibly large hail and damaging winds.  The Local nWS says there will be enough moisture and shear with this storm, only thing now is that if the storm arrives at time forecasted then we see a good chance for this event to carry out.   The storm prediction center has not yet put light on any of this as noticed on the Outlook for this day but things change quickly and I would expect to see at least a “see text” for our area and maybe even a slight chance outline.  2 days out I try my best to not jump on what I read but any storm that has more dynamics than what we had for this whole week will be greatly welcomed.  I just hope for a chase opportunity or a night time lightning photo op.  I cant wait to get some good footage. 

Stay Tuned.  I will do another update tommorow evening.

-gerrit

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Urgent Weather Update Sep,4 2007

Interesting weather scenario is upon us now.  Several Watches and Warnings to mention already. 

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pih&wwa=Severe%20Thunderstorm%20Watch

Click to See Info on the Watch……..

 

Flash Flood Watch

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pih&wwa=Flash%20Flood%20Watch

Click to View Flash Flood Watch Info

 

Weather Discussion

After a rather cloudy and rainy morning the Clouds are clearing and this is good news for instability.  With a High Near 80 expected today I am guessing we could see marginal instability with the chance for Strong storms and alot of rain.  Already South of the Snake Plain and Into Utah and Nevada several Thunderstorms already pulsing as strong and severe with several to many Watches and Warnings being issued in Utah and Nevada and soon Idaho.  It appears that the Best day for strong to severe storms is tommorow for The Snake River plain, Upper Snake River plain, etc.  With substantial clearing and heating I do believe we will meet the criteria as SPC already has us in the Slight Risk which is cause for concern for Damaging Wind and Hail. 

The Concern today will be Frequent lightning in and near the strongest of storms which could ignite new fires and also the rain is an issue for recently Burned area’s. 

Im waiting for the afternoon Update from Local NWS.  Will update ASAP…..

-gerrit

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Weather Update September 2 2007

A Rather interesting weather scenario for Southeast Idaho is slowly coming together on models and Local NWS offices are slowly making sense of it all.  It appears a strong Monsoonal Moisture surge will occur starting Tuesday Morning,  with this a Strong Upper Level Low is coming in from the Pacific Coast which will also interact with the Upper Jet which could possibly make for Thunderstorms and wetting rains.  Models are depicting high moisture readings and daytime highs could make for marginal instability.  The thoughts thus far for the Storm prediction center is that Marginal instability will occur for the possibility of Thunderstorm Line segments with Strong winds and some possibly large hail, However the SPC is still uncertain on amount of Daytime Heating.  If Surface heating is substantial enough we could see a severe weather event.  The reason I mention this is that Models are suggesting a High QPF reading, the more moisture available along with effective surface heating (lifted index) could be enough for possible Organized convection capable of Strong Updrafts which could in turn bring us Large hail and damaging winds.   

Being only 1 day out, I can say that we should expect Weak to moderate in strength Thunderstorms along with heavy rain, some winds capable of 40+ mph and Hail up to pea size.  By tonight and Tuesday Morning I will have a better idea of what is to be expected and will further update this blog with whats to be expected. 

Stay Tuned….

-gerrit

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Weather Update August 28th 2007

Well its been dry and warm and even a bit smoky around Southeast Idaho.  But all that looks to change by Thursday and last into Sunday.  Looks like Monsoonal Moisture will slowly push back northward into the Highlands and eventually into the forecast area for a 30% chance for Wet and Dry Storms.  The storms will start out Dry but eventually turn out wet with decent rainfall under the cores of most thunderstorms.  No big speculation yet on the intensity of the storms but things can change quickly. 

I hope you all got a chance at watching the Lunar Eclipse last night.  I stayed up till around 4am watching the Eclipse.  Watching the Moon slowly turn to Black and then Red was amazing.  I did try to take some photos, but they didnt turn out as good as I hoped.  From what I read, The next eclipse wont be for another possible 80 years.  Simply amazing how everything works. 

Well I am awaiting the Winter 2007/2008 outlook, They released a Fall Outlook and we look pretty Dryer than average and Warmer than average.  Hopefully we still get some good storms.  Stay Tuned…

 

-gerrit

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Possible Thunderstorm in the Next Hour

Idaho Falls and My Area could see a thunderstorm in the next Hour.  Recent radar trends show Convective development expanding in Coverage and A Thunderstorm is tracking Northeast and could impact our area shortly.  Hail chances are slim with a 50% chance for Small hail.  Severe Chances are still O%.  This could change very quickly as the envrionment is quite unstable. 

Slight Risk from the SPC has been expanded to cover basically all of Southeast Idaho and the Severe Thunderstorm Watch covers most this area as well.  Severe Thunderstorm looks to Expire at Midnight tonight, so expectancies obviously keep severe weather going on well into the night.  It is quiet as far as Severe Thunderstorms go.  Only 1 thus far to speak of yet the storm was downgraded very quickly with hail remaining Pea sized only. 

Stay Tuned for Urgent Weather alerts. 

 

HURRICANE DEAN UPDATE——————————–

Hurricane Dean is still a Category 4 storm.  The eye is not expected to Impact Jamaica which is good news, however Jamaica could still see winds anywhere from 60mph and more up to 100mph along with Extreme rainfall and potential flooding.  There are Voluntary Evacuations already in place in TEXAS and with DEAN expected to Strengthen to a category 5 storm as it passes Jamiaca, concerns are rising very rapidly for Texans.  I talked to my friends in Brownsville and they are getting ready to Leave when the Mandatory Evacuation Takes place.  Hurricane DEAN is a deadly storm,  Precautions should be taken immediately and thus far it sounds like Texas is ready for this Hurricane.  The Yucatan Peninsula could see alot of Damage from this storm as the Track currently places Dean dead on into The Mexican Peninsula.  Hopefully they are taking all necessary precautions. 

Stay Tuned…..

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August 19th Strong to Severe Thunderstorm Potential

I was under the impression that Today would be mostly a windy day without thunderstorms.  Yet as I woke up and Do my regular routine of checking the Storm Prediction Center I noticed we are in the Slight risk area for possible Damaging Winds and Large Hail.  A Vigorous upper level low will be moving into the area this afternoon and evening and into Tonight.  The clear skies that occured all day today allowed for decent Heating of the ground which in turn acts as the Unstable trigger for thunderstorms.  This trigger should be enough for maybe Severe Storms capable of Large hail and damaging winds along with a threat for possible Supercells and Even Bow Segments of thunderstorms which can and do occasionally produce winds in excess of 60mph with large hail.  I dont think the threat is that real for Supercells and Bow Line Segment thunderstorms but you can never be too sure. 

Be on the Lookout for Strong to severe thunderstorms,  Listen to NOAA Radio and watch Local News for Weather bulletins.  I will update this blog throughout the day to Update you of any possible Dangerous Storms. 

Stay Tuned…….

-gerrit

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Urgent Weather Update Aug,5, 2007

Eastern Idaho is under the gun for severe weather today.  Already a Mesoscale Discussion posted for a Possible Severe Weather Watch to cover possible Damaging Winds.  The chance for small hail and maybe even some bigger hail is possible.  The Severe Weather threat will be from Now until Sunset I believe or maybe even till midnight.  Expecting thunderstorms to continue thru today with possible strong to severe thunderstorms in the next several hours.  A thunderstorm has already occured in my immediate area with moderate rainfall but no winds or hail.  A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will most likely be issued anytime now. 

Will update as the evening goes on and will Update for any Urgent messages. 

Stay Tuned. 

 

-gerrit

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Weather Update, August 1st 2007

The weather in Southeast Idaho hasnt really been all that boring.  I managed to get a few lightning photos yesterday.  Will be updating my website to show these soon..  Basically the Thunderstorms have been hit and miss.  It has been fairly warm and dry, yet the Monsoonal Moisture has been evident on the Highlands and Central Mountains and occasionally in the Snake River plain. 

There have been a few severe thunderstorms, but the SevereNess was due to rain in excess of 1 inch per hour.  No severe hail or wind yet tho.  Storms do occasionaly pulse as strong but again this is a Rain issue and not Wind or hail. 

The Monsoonal Moisture is slowly getting back into place and should allow for a more widespread coverage event throughout Southeast Idaho.  My area still has not seen a substantial weather event. Still crossing my fingers for something big. 

This Thursday and Friday should be a little interesting.  Moisture is expected to be around 1. inch (qpf) or more.  There will be a light cooling but instability will still be in place so widespread to widely scattered storms should be expected.

Stay Tuned….

-gerrit